The state of the property market can be assessed by keeping a close eye on the number of properties being marketed for Auction. When you spot more and more of the For Sale street signs emblazened with “Auction” you can safely bet that the property market is heating up.
This view is certainly articulated in the article today titled “Auckland house auctions hit high“. Based on sales data supplied by the Real Estate Institute (REINZ) the number of properties sold in November across the country as Auctions was the highest ever at more than 25%. Looking specifically at the Auckland market Barfoot & Thompson November reported that around 40% of it’s current listings are being for sale by auction.
These reported statistics got me interested as we have in the past reported on the number of listings coming onto the market and specifically on the market across our comprehensive database. Back in August we reported that Auctions across the whole country had risen to a peak in June as representing 13% of all new listings, in Auckland that figure was even higher with over 20% of all new listings being for Auction properties for sale. These figures though are lower than the respective REINZ or Barfoot & Thompson figures.
Looking at the latest data for the month of November we saw 1,206 new listings of Auctions of properties come onto the market across NZ, this represented 9% of all new listings. In Auckland the number was 790 which represented over 17% – a new record, so the data is consistent.
In tracking the data over the past 4 years what is very interesting is that Auctions as a form of marketing rises as available inventory falls (as it does when the market picks up) and similarly falls as inventory rises. This is represented in the chart below, tracking new listings of Auctions per month as a % of all listings (blue bars) against the available stock on the market as measured as equivalent weeks sales as we track for the NZ Property Report.
In Auckland the same trend is evident, and more pronounced.
So it is clear that Auction marketing is a bellwether of the state of the market, which is not that surprising as vendors are more keen to pitch their property to a more active market when there is more demand from active buyers and see the open auction environment ensure that transparency works for them to maximise property demand lead pricing.
Point of Note
The new realestate.co.nz website has a very useful feature which allows you search by pricing type (Auction / Negotiation / Tender / POA / Offers / Display Price). As at this time as we head into Christmas there are 713 properties being marketed on the website as Auctions, 179 properties being marketed on the website as Tenders, and 37,736 properties being marketed with a price on the website /
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